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Wisconsin Policy Research Institute Report:
By Sammis White, Ph.D.
Table of Contents:
I. Executive Summary Despite a host of initiatives the Milwaukee Public Schools (MPS) have had very modest and irregular success in raising levels of student achievement in recent years. The results are not sufficient to ensure economic health for the individual students or the regional economy. These are among the numerous compelling reasons why achievement levels must rise. To raise student achievement, we first need a better understanding of what factors may be most influential in the low scores that have been commonplace in MPS. A factor that may be playing a role is the failure to teach in ways that help the majority of males achieve at higher levels. Increasingly, evidence suggests urban school systems fail males, especially minority males. According to one source, African-American males in MPS, for example, have a graduation rate of about 31%, and Hispanic males have an estimated graduation rate of 36%. The white male rate of graduation from MPS is estimated to be 66%, suggesting something is out of kilter for minority males, not to mention the system as a whole, one that largely serves a low-income population. We must also note, however, that minority females, while doing better than comparable males, have not achieved at close to white female levels in the district. The MPS African-American female graduation rate is estimated at 46%, Hispanic female, 50%, and white female, 75%, in a state where the average overall graduation rate is 88.8%. Graduation is just one measure, albeit a critical one, of achievement. Thus, the question is whether the problem of low achievement is one of gender, race, or income. This report examines the differing levels of achievement of two genders, three different racial groups, and four different levels of income among two classes of students followed over seven or eight years to learn what factors appear to have the greatest impacts on student achievement in reading and math. The analysis is done of cohorts of Milwaukee Public School students. Among the findings that appear are the following stark messages:
Despite modest average differences between males and females in math, there are large differences in average math achievement scores between minority and white MPS female and male students (all incomes combined). The scale of these gaps grows as students move through the grades.
If measured against the average student in the state of Wisconsin at 8th grade, the average African-American male in MPS is approximately two years behind in math and almost two years behind in reading.[i]1 Those are huge gaps that should be totally unacceptable to the citizens of the state. Hispanics have also been achieving at lower than white levels, on average. They should be given every opportunity to achieve at least at middle-income white levels. So programs should not be targeted just at African-Americans or African-American males. Furthermore, the gap is not just a minority gap: on average, low-income white males are often a year or more behind middle-income white males in reading and math. That indicates a very large need for instituting approaches that are targeted at low-income children, regardless of race. A high proportion of these children could use the attention. These learning achievement differences must be addressed both for the sake of the individuals and for the sake of the regional economy. The Milwaukee economy is growing increasingly reliant on a minority workforce. If that workforce is largely undereducated, then the economy will not be able to compete globally, and incomes of all residents, not just the undereducated, will suffer. The learning gaps must be addressed, beginning now. Steps must be taken both inside and outside MPS to raise student achievement and high school graduation rates for all. To begin the move in that direction, some suggestions are offered. Each has some research support, but several would benefit from additional application and evaluation in the Milwaukee setting. The most important step is taking more concerted efforts to raise levels of student achievement. There are several steps that are very likely to make success easier to achieve in K-12 education. Some of these steps are harder to achieve than the others, although the reader may have trouble deciding which of the five mentioned is really harder—since all will be opposed to at least some degree. The five recommendations are:
The author would like to acknowledge the assistance
of Bruce Thompson in the development of the data for this analysis. The
author is solely responsible for the analysis and policy recommendations. In
the last year numerous headlines have appeared in the news media that
suggest a large gender problem exists in our schools. The New
York Times said: “Boys are No Match for Girls in Completing High
School.”[i]
Another from the Times: Dire
Problems for Young Black Men, Several New Academic Studies Warn.”[ii]
Locally, the Journal Sentinel
featured a story that “Boys learn differently from girls, studies
say.”[iii]
And last July in the results of a national study Wisconsin fared worst in
the nation in what was termed the state Education Inequality Index, the
difference between graduation rates of black males and white males. The
gap in Wisconsin was 47 points, the difference between a graduation rate
of 38% for black males and 84% for white males across the state.[iv] There
is also a growing literature that bemoans the treatment boys are receiving
in education today.[v]
The claim is that males learn differently and that those differences work
against them in schools that teach to the girls’ way of learning. They
cite evidence of higher grades, higher high school graduation rates of
girls, higher rates of college attendance among young women, and higher
grades in college. Boys, these critics complain, are getting the short end
of the stick. On
the other hand, another group claims that the issue is that girls are
finally being given the education that they deserve and that both sexes
are doing better overall.[vi]
One only need to note that the majority of college students today are
women to know that girls are finally competing well with boys, at least on
many indicators. But
even those who argue that females are only beginning to equal males
realize that certain males—minority and low-income—are not doing well.
These defenders of girls’ achievements admit that “academic
performance for minority boys is often shockingly low.”[vii] This is certainly the
case in Milwaukee where minority test scores and graduation rates are
significantly behind those of white students in the district and even
further behind those of white students in the rest of the state. Milwaukee
Public Schools’ (MPS) test scores have not been rising for several
years, despite a host of initiatives (Figure 1). The district has seen an
increase in the proportion of low-income students, so holding scores
steady may be an accomplishment, modest though it may be. But stability in
scores is not enough. There are numerous compelling reasons why
achievement levels must rise. A recent report on MPS reveals that outside
reviewers see MPS as far too complacent with its non-gains.[viii]
The reviewers insist that more pressure be placed on MPS for gains in
student achievement. Pressure
alone is not sufficient. We need a better understanding of what factors
may be most influential in the low scores that have been commonplace in
MPS. The new report cites the decentralization of authority as a
contributor to no steady gains. MPS administration is now trying to
reverse that (re-centralize), so that it can have a greater role in
curriculum and budget decisions, among other points. But few view
management style as the determining factor in educational outcomes. A
factor, however, that may be playing a role is the failure to teach in
ways that helps the majority of males achieve at higher levels. According
to one source, African-American males in MPS, for example, have a
graduation rate of about 31%, and Hispanic males have an estimated
graduation rate of 36%.[ix]
The white male rate of graduation from MPS is estimated to be 66%,
suggesting something is out of kilter for minority males, not to mention
the system as a whole. What must also be noted is that the minority
females, while doing better than comparable males, have not achieved at
close to white female levels in the district. The African-American female
graduation rate is estimated at 46%, Hispanic female, 50%, and white
female, 75%. This is just one measure, albeit a critical one, of
achievement. Do
these differences among these groups start at young ages or do they
develop over time, perhaps as peer pressure gets stronger? Do the
differences vary by subject area or are boys behind girls in levels of
achievement on every subject? And do Hispanic males and females more
closely follow the patterns of achievement for whites or for
African-Americans? These are important questions to answer, because the
answers can lead to more appropriate curricula and teaching methods. If
gender differences are not an issue, then we can look for other factors
that might make better targets for interventions. Given the media
coverage, we look first to the gender differences. The popular press has been
quick to pick up on the proposition that males, especially
African-American males, are falling further and further behind not only
white males but African-American females. Business
Week ran an article entitled “The new gender gap: From kindergarten
to grad school, boys are becoming the second sex.”[x]
The article made the case that boys are not doing as well in school
achievement, school graduation, or college entrance or graduation. And
they make the case that this is a problem, not only economically but
socially. USA Today ran an
opinion piece entitled: “Pay closer attention; Boys are struggling
academically.”[xi]
It talks of the reforms that have helped girls do better and that several
of the reforms have made achievement more difficult for boys. The
impression given is that boys are struggling. Despite these media articles
on males, the evidence is not so clear. A review of trends in the
educational equity of girls and women for 2004 reveals that “females
have done much better than males in reading and writing, but have
generally, though not always, lagged behind in science and mathematics.”
The report also states that “females in grades 4, 8, and 12 have
consistently outperformed males in reading . . . and also outperformed
their male peers in writing in 1998 and 2002.”[xii] The same study revealed a
somewhat different finding with regard to math. In fact, “[a]lthough
there is a common perception that males consistently outperform females in
mathematics, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP)
mathematics scores have not shown this. In mathematics, the gap between
average scale scores has been quite small and fluctuated only slightly
between 1990 and 2003.”[xiii]
Another study, one that examined 111 studies on male and female abilities
concluded that “most of the [studies] suggest that men’s and women’s
abilities for math and science have a genetic basis in cognitive systems
that emerge in early childhood but give men and women on the whole equal
aptitude for math and science.”[xiv] The author goes on to
report that boy and girl infants were found to perform equally well as
young as six months on such tasks as addition and subtraction. Surprisingly,
given the results of the NAEP test scores on reading and writing, Hyde and
a colleague reported that data from 165 studies revealed a female
superiority so slight as to be meaningless, despite previous assertions
that “girls are better verbally.”[xv]
Hyde and two colleagues examined math performance and concluded that there
was little support for saying boys are better at math. They instead
concluded that social and cultural factors influence perceived or actual
performance differences.[xvi] Reinforcing
the conclusion that social and cultural factors are very influential were
the results from the two international tests. One is from the Trends in
Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS) for students in grades 4 and 8. The
second is the Program for International Student Assessment (PISA) for
students at age fifteen. The American Institutes for Research (2003) noted
that boys in the United States consistently outperform girls in all three
assessments on math. The differences are small (less than a tenth of a
standard deviation). But the most intriguing finding is that the U.S. and
Italy are the only countries out of twelve compared in which boys
consistently outperform girls on all three assessments.[xvii] The
case for culture and social factors being influential may well play a role
in what several studies see as a greater gap between males and
females—that between African-American males and females. According to a
2004 report (The Schott Foundation for Public Education) the widest gap
separates African-American males from other sub-groups of students,
including Black females.[xviii]
The study notes that several school districts have the lowest Black male
graduation rates in the country; these include: Cincinnati and Cleveland,
Ohio, 19%; Chatham County, Georgia, 21%, Rochester, New York, Milwaukee,
Wisconsin, and Pinellas County, Florida, 24%.[xix]
Although these numbers likely overstate the problem, it is clear that the
African-American, male graduation rates are very low in Milwaukee and
elsewhere. It
is this phenomenon that needs greater exploration. Why is it that
African-American males have such low graduation rates? Does this pattern
of modest achievement start at some early date? If it does, can
interventions be identified that can help to reduce the failure and desire
to leave high school before it can be completed? These are critical
questions. Again, the popular media has picked up on this and the
implications. The USA Today
editorial referred to above states that for African-American men the
gender gap is widening at an alarming rate in terms of high school
completion, college enrollment, and college degrees. The 2000 US Census
pointed out that 35% of African-Americans enrolled in college were men. The
primary quest for this report is to learn if and when African American
males in Milwaukee begin to fall behind African-American females in terms
of reading and math. The report also seeks to learn if the pattern is
different among Hispanics and whites in the Milwaukee Public Schools. If
the African-American males drop behind at an early age, the question then
becomes what sorts of interventions might be appropriate to try to raise
average African-American male scores to at least equivalent to those of
average African-American females and even better would be to make them
equivalent to white males and females. To explore the pattern of
student achievement within the Milwaukee Public Schools, we employed the
data resources of MPS. The data used in this study are from the MPS
records of individual students. These students’ identities are
disguised. But the manner in which they are disguised allows us to track
the students by using a unique identifier assigned to each student. Thus,
we are able to track students over time, and we are able to associate
select pieces of individual information, such as grade, race, gender, and
eligibility for free or reduced-price lunch with their standardized test
scores in math and reading. Standardized test results were
used as a measure of achievement. MPS uses annual tests (the same test but
with two different names) in grades four through ten. This allows annual
comparisons to be made rather than having to use only fourth-, eighth-,
and tenth-grade tests, the ones mandated by the State Department of Public
Instruction. Thus, student identifiers are associated with the Wisconsin
Knowledge and Concepts Exam (WKCE) for fourth, eighth, and tenth grades,
and the Terra Nova exam for fifth, sixth, seventh, and ninth grades. The
exams are given in the fall (usually November) of each year. We selected two classes to
examine in this study: the Class of 2008 and the Class of 2011, each named
for the year of scheduled high school graduation. For the class of 2008,
fourth-grade WKCE exams were given in 1999, eighth-grade WKCE exams were
given in 2003 and tenth grade WKCE exams were given in the fall of 2005.
In an attempt to better understand how students actually did at the time
they were first scheduled to take the exams, the individual records were
created so that the only scores available for analysis were those
associated with the first attempt at taking each test. If students are
kept behind, they drop from the class of analysis. The Class of 2011 was
constructed in similar fashion. But the data start at second grade because
MPS changed its rules and organized testing for second-graders. Thus,
their first tests were the Terra Nova, given in 2000. And because they
started later, the most recent test scores available are the seventh grade
Terra Nova from the fall of 2005. Results of the exams are
expressed in a three-digit number for each subject area. The scores we are
using are referred to as “scale” scores.[xx]
These scores allow us to follow progress over time because they are
“scaled” so that progress or lack thereof can be easily seen. These
exams do cover subjects beyond reading and math. But since those are
fundamental subjects, they are the ones on which we concentrate. Each class started with over
7,000 members. The Class of 2011, for example had 7,614 members in 2000,
the year they were in second grade. By the time they were in sixth grade
the class had diminished to 6,845 students. While the class was smaller by
769 students that is still a large number of students. When we did the
analysis, we used information on fewer students because we needed complete
records. Thus, when we analyzed the class of 2008 in sixth grade for
details on gender, race, and income, we used records from 6,960 students.
For the Class of 2011’s sixth grade for a similar analysis, we employed
records of 6,407 students. The
vast majority of students in these classes are minority, and the clear
majority of these students qualified for free- or reduced-price lunch.
Thus, in the sixth grade of the Class of 2008, some 5,031 minority
students qualified for free lunch, and another 552 minority students
qualified for reduced-price lunch (Table 1). Subsidized students
constituted 92% of minority students for whom we had data.
The concentration of minority
students means that the pool of white students is modest in scale to begin
with. For this same sixth grade of the Class of 2008, we had data for 930
white students or 13% of the students for whom we had complete records.
That is quite close to their overall proportion in the district (14%).
When the white student population is subdivided by income, sub-groups,
such as those denied subsidized lunches, are not very large. The same is
true of Hispanics and even African-Americans. So the most reliable test
scores are those for students eligible for free lunch in all three racial
groups and whites with incomes too high to be eligible. We use test scores
on all sub-populations, but we urge caution drawing firm conclusions on
some of the smaller sub-groups, such as those with reduced-price lunches
or those denied subsidized lunches.
The analysis of MPS student
achievement is very straightforward. All available test scores were
aggregated and divided by the number of appropriate students to create
average, standardized, scale-scores for each group of students. Thus, for
example, the reading scale scores of all fourth-grade males and females
from the Class of 2008 were put together and divided by the number of such
males and females to create an average scale score for fourth-grade males
and females from that class. Similar figures were created for the
fourth-grade from the Class of 2011. The differences in scores between the
males and females of each class were compared to see if they are similar.[xxi] Average test scores were also
created for sub-parts of the original gender group. Thus, fourth-grade
females were sub-divided into three racial groups—African-American,
Hispanic, and white—and then again the three were subdivided into, for
example, African-American fourth-grade girls who received a free lunch,
those who received a reduced-price lunch, those who applied and were
denied a subsidy for lunch, and those who were not eligible for lunch
support. This further subdivision was undertaken for all grades, for all
three racial groups, for two genders, and for two different classes. All
of the averages were compared with comparables to see what patterns exist
and to begin to explore what case might be made to address any particular
sub-groups. Averages were chosen because
they are an easily understood measure. They can show whether there are
small or large differences between groups. They are easily computed. And
they give a clear picture over time of how groups of students are doing. The basic reason for the
analysis of the MPS students is to see whether and to what degree
conditions in Milwaukee match conditions elsewhere. We expected to see
evidence that African-American males, especially low-income males, started
behind everyone, including comparable African-American girls, from early
years in school, especially in reading. That is what evidence from
elsewhere suggests. If true, that then raises the question of what
interventions, if any, are needed to address this condition, especially
since between 25% and 30% of the MPS student population consists of
low-income, African-American males. Discussion of alternative approaches
to addressing this issue is what follows the exposition of the scores
within MPS.
Before examining differences
by race and income, it is important to first get a picture of how males
and females fared on standardized tests, as they move through school. We
begin this analysis by choosing one class, the class of 2008 in MPS, in
order to be able to follow scores for largely the same individuals from
fourth to tenth grade. We will subsequently examine the results for the
Class of 2011 that allows us to see the scores for second and third grades
to see if the patterns start even earlier in children’s school
experience and to see if other patterns are the same for two very
different classes. Gender is extremely important
to this population’s test scores. In fourth grade, the average female
has a test score that is over 6 points higher than the average male. By
eighth grade the difference is almost 12 points. By tenth grade, even with
a different and lower calibration of scores on the test, the females
outscore the males by 20 points, on average. The trend throughout higher
grades is a growing disparity between males and females. The pattern is
evident by fourth grade. It almost doubles by fifth grade and inches up
until 9th grade, when there is another large jump. Females clearly do
better than males, on average, on reading. One should note that this MPS
class is largely minority and largely low income, skewing the averages in
ways that will be examined below. Nevertheless, gender does matter and
males do not, on average, achieve at the same levels as females on
reading. The question is whether this
pattern prevails in math as well. The research cited above suggests that
the genders should be quite similar in math achievement, based on innate
ability, but that cultural differences (e.g., greater math emphasis for
males) might lead to findings that are the reverse of those in reading. A second way to look at male
and female differences is to see whether there are greater male and female
differences among students with different family incomes. The major
question is whether MPS faces the same conditions found many other
places—that lower incomes are associated with lower levels of
achievement and that the pattern of females achieving at higher levels
than their male counterparts holds regardless of income. To ascertain
this, we will examine students for grades 4-10 for the Class of 2008 for
reading and then for math. Since income levels are not
available, we must use a surrogate, eligibility for free or reduced-price
lunch. Eligibility for subsidized lunch is based on one’s family’s
income being either poverty level or within 175% of federally established
poverty levels. Those eligible for free lunch are from the lowest-income
families. Those who are eligible for a reduced-price lunch are next-lowest
income. Those who have applied for subsidized lunch because they think
they may be eligible but are denied are third-lowest income. And those who
did not apply are said to be highest income. Some of these students may be
eligible for a lunch subsidy, but because of stigma or lack of knowledge,
they did not apply. We include them with the non-eligible population
because we have no contrary knowledge, and it is not until high school
that participation in the subsidized lunch program declines. Table 4 reveals the average
scale reading scores for fourth grade by gender and lunch-eligibility
status for the Class of 2008. The first point to note is that on every
male/female comparison of seemingly equals, that is the same lunch status,
females, on average, outperformed males in all four income categories. The
level of income does not change the fact that in MPS females outperform
males. Also worth noting is that the scale of the male to female
difference is basically the same regardless of income. Since that income-achievement
link is clearly established and since the counts of students in the
reduced and denied pools are relatively small, they are excluded from the
next table that displays the gender gap for the poorest (free lunch) and
those best off (no support) across grades 4 through 10 (Table 5). The
first point to note is the size of the reading gap, starting in fourth
grade. The gap almost doubles in fifth grade and remains in that vicinity
until eighth grade. Ninth grade had a decline in the gap between genders
among the poorest students but a huge gain among those with no support.
Ninth grade is an anomaly and likely affected by students coming to MPS
for high school from private K-8 schools. In tenth grade both income
levels have substantial gaps. The basic trend is a gain in the size of the
average reading gap within each income category as the students move to
higher grades regardless of income level. Low-income males were 39
points behind the non-subsidized females, on average, in fourth grade
reading. By fifth grade the gap was 46 points. By sixth grade it was 51
points. And by tenth grade low-income males were 70 points, on average,
behind middle income females in the District. Those are very substantial
differences. While it is very difficult to be precise, males could be
interpreted as being between one and two years or more behind
middle-income females.[xxii]
Gender matters, but even more pronounced is the effect of income. Math score differences should
not be as pronounced, given the relatively small differences seen above
between genders across the seven grades. Table 7 shows the scores for the
fourth grade of the class of 2008. The gender pattern is the same for
three groups, those eligible for free or reduced-price lunch, and those
not seeking support: females outperform males. The difference among those
denied support is nil. Regardless, there appear to be extremely modest
average differences between genders within income groups. Table 9 displays the
differences in average math scale scores between low-income and
middle-income females in the first column. The third column in Table 9 is
included to point out just how far low-income males are behind
middle-income females, on average. The numbers are almost always larger
than the ones that show the gap between low- and middle-income males. The
gaps are usually not as large as on reading, but they are very large . Reading Scores by Gender and RaceGiven the literature that pinpoints race as a critical factor associated with differences in levels of student achievement, we need to examine scores by subject, by grade, and by race to learn the situation in Milwaukee. The data to aid this exploration are available. They are examined first with all incomes combined and then differentiated by lunch status. Obviously, in Milwaukee with 74% of students eligible for free or reduced-price lunch in 2004, the picture given by a view of all incomes combined will be strongly influenced by the dominant low-income population.
A second important way to read this information is to compare racial differences to learn of differences within the same gender across racial groups. As expected, at every grade, white females had substantially higher average scores than Hispanic females. And both white and Hispanic females scored higher, on average, than African-American females. The same pattern holds for males.
The next logical question to explore is whether males are behind females in math, as they are in reading. Table 12 shows the distribution of average scores by grade, gender, and race for the three largest student groups in MPS. A glance at the first line, fourth grade, reveals that math is different from reading. Only African-American males have average scores lower than African-American females. Whites and Hispanic males and females have the same scores. Again, there is evidence that African-American males are behind others early in their academic careers.
What also should be noted is that the average scores of both males and females among African-Americans are quite far below those of Hispanics and whites. This pattern is likely largely related to income, the subject of the next section.
The gap between the fourth-grade, African-American males and the white males is, on average, 28 points. By tenth grade, the difference is 53 points. That is likely more than two years of average progress and indicates a severe difference in achievement in math. This is not new news, but its repetition points out how difficult the challenge of raising math test scores, when the gap is so large in the early years of elementary school. --->Next Page (1...2) [i] Tamar Lewin. “Boys are no match for girls in completing high school.” New York Times. April 19,2006. [ii] Erik Eckholm. “Dire Problems for Young Black Men, Several New Academic Studies Warn.” New York Times. March 20, 2006. [iii] Katherine Goodloe. “Boys learn differently from girls, studies say.” Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. June 5, 2006. [iv] Jamaal Abdul-Alim. “State at top in high school gap.” Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. July 14, 2006. [v] Judith Klein. “Student Performance: males versus females.” 1999 at http://uaf.edu/northern/schools/myth.html; “Public Education and Black Male Students: A State Report Card.” The Schott Foundation for Public Education. 2004; “The New Gender Gap – Why are so many boys foundering while so many girls are soaring?” 2004. at http://teacher.scholastic.com/products/Instructor/Mar04_gendergap.htm; Betsy Gunzelmann and Diane Connell. “The New Gender Gap: Social, Psychological Neuro-biological and Educational Perspectives.” Educational Horizons. Winter 2006. [vi] Sara Mead. “The Evidence Suggest Otherwise: The Truth About Boys and Girls.” Education Sector. June 2006 at http://www.educationsector.org/. [vii] Ibid., p. 5. [viii] Alan J. Borsuk. “Report Sparking MPS to Act. Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. January 2, 2007. [ix] The graduation rate of MPS is claimed by MPS to be 62% in 2003-04. The derivation of that graduation rate is taken to task by Greene and Winters. They develop an estimation technique that takes into account the exaggerated size of the freshman class that is the normal denominator, since it enlarged by the number of students who annually fail to earn enough credits to become a sophomore. It also uses a count of the number of eighth graders rising to ninth grade but admits this undercounts since many students from private elementary schools transfer to public schools at ninth grade, given the cost of private high school education. The Green and Winters numbers are contested by some as understating the actual conditions. The Greene and Winters’ numbers are used here because they are the best supported of any estimates. [x] Business Week, May 26, 2004. [xi] USA Today, December 2, 2004, p. 1. [xii] National Center for Education Statistics, “Trends in Educational Equity of Girls and Women 2004; Press release, available at: http://nces.ed.gov/pubs2005/equity/Section4.asp. [xiii] Ibid. [xiv] Elizabeth S. Spelke. 2005. “Sex Differences in intrinsic aptitude for mathematics and science?: A critical review.” American Psychologist, 60(9), 950-958. [xv] J.S. Hyde and M.C. Linn. (1998). “Gender differences in verbal ability: A meta-analysis.” Psychological Bulletin. 104, 53-69. [xvi] J.S. Hyde, E. Fennema, & S. Lamon. 1990. “Gender differences in mathematics performance: A meta-analysis.” Psychological Bulletin. 107, 139-155. [xvii] Alan Ginsburg, Geneise Cook, Steve Leinwand, Jay Noell, and Elizabeth Pollock. “Reassessing U.S. International Mathematics Performance: New Findings from the 2003 TIMSS and PISA. Washington, D.C.: American Institutes for Research. November 2005. [xviii] Michael Holzman, Ph.D. “Public Education and Black Male Students: A State Report Card.” Schott Foundation. Cambridge, MA. October 2004. [xix] Different methods have been used to estimate graduation rates. This method produces even lower graduation rates for Black males. These numbers paint an even grimmer picture of how well larger central city school systems are doing in educating minority males. [xx] Scale scores represent approximately equal units on a continuous scale from 0 to 999. As a student’s academic achievement increases over the grades, his/her scale scores is also expected to rise. This allows a more detailed view of growth. Source: MPS District Report Card 2004-05, p. 16. [xxi] Test scores from 2002 and later cannot safely be compared with test scores from 2001 and earlier because the tests were changed between these years to better meet the needs of No Child Left Behind. In the analysis that follows, almost all comparisons are within the same year and not across years. This avoids the sticky question of how to cross the dividing year scores. [xxii] Attempting to translate points behind on average scale scores into years of schooling is a very tricky exercise. One has to be careful that the same tests are compared year-to-year and that one is comparing students who are making a year’s progress in one year. To do this, we might look at the progress made by middle-income, white males and females to get a sense of average progress. We chose scores from the class of 2011, since all are the same version of the test. (We need to avoid comparing pre- and post 2001, since the tests were re-normed that year.) Thus, on reading, white females and males made 26 and 24 points’ progress on reading between 4th and 5th grade, respectively. On math, they made 24 and 21 points’ progress, respectively. If we refine this further and look at middle-income white gains for the same years, we see a 26 point gain between fourth and fifth grades among females and a 25 point gain among males on reading. These are a bit higher and might be a better standard. But the gains by year are not always the same. Some years appear to have smaller averages than others. Thus, making statements of translation of years behind is fraught with challenges. We attempt to make some estimates to give the reader a slightly better sense of what the gaps in scoring might actually mean. [xxiii] The jump between ninth and tenth grades is in part a real gain in the difference in races, but it is also due in part to the rescaling of the test. We cannot attribute the jump precisely to either one reason or the other.
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