July 17, 2008 A Peek Inside the Conservative Research Factory By David Dodenhoff, Ph.D. I have been doing think
tank work long enough (12 years) to see many of the same scenes play out
over and over again. A common one runs roughly as follows: 1. Ostensibly conservative think tank releases study with findings that support ostensibly conservative position on Issue X. 2. Critics
say, “What did you think they were going to say? They’re
conservatives.” 3. Study author says, “Rather than
throwing labels around, why don’t we debate the merits of the
study?” 4. No such debate takes place, as
media outlets have moved on to a story about a confused but plucky
family of ducks that has taken up residence in a local public pool. 5. Study author finds a quiet corner
in a poorly-lit bar, sips vodka tonics, shakes his fist and shouts
frustrated imprecations at no one in particular. As one who has played the role of the
frustrated, vodka-drinking study author many times, let me tell you a
few reasons why this
predictable sequence of events frustrates me so. First of all, there’s the whole concept of
the “conservative think tank.” AT WPRI, we don’t describe
ourselves as a conservative think tank. We describe ourselves as a free
market think tank. “Free market” is a much more restrictive
qualifier than “conservative.” That’s because “conservative”
has many meanings. There are fiscal conservatives who are social
liberals. There are domestic policy conservatives who are foreign policy
liberals (the latter of whom used to be the foreign policy
conservatives). There are single-issue conservatives. There are cultural
conservatives. There are Burkean conservatives. There are
small-government conservatives. There are Christian conservatives. There
are, oxymoronically, Progressive Conservatives. (They are found almost
exclusively in Canada, however, similar to back bacon and hockey fans.)
In short, saying that WPRI is a “conservative think tank,” in
addition to being inaccurate, doesn’t tell you much. It’s one of the
reasons we eschew the label. As noted, however, we do call ourselves a
free market think tank. Adopting that label is probably more trouble
than it’s worth—much of what we write has no real “free market”
bent—but as long as we’ve invited the trouble ourselves, let me note
a couple of important points. First, by calling ourselves a “free market
think tank,” we have announced our predispositions up front (unlike
some local newspapers I could mention). We are telling you this: “We
have a basic intellectual and philosophical orientation. The shorthand
for it is ‘free market.’ If you’re looking for some other
perspective—‘green,’ let’s say, or progressive, or vegan, or
Sikh, or pacifist, or post-modern, or Belgian, or feminist—your time
would be better spent elsewhere.” We respect you enough to tell you
what our philosophical starting point is. For that honesty, though, we are beaten over
the head. (See #2 in the list up above.) And the reason we are beaten
over the head, I think, is that we are assumed to make sure that our
studies “come out right.” In other words, no matter what the data
might show, we are thought to massage the numbers, ignore inconvenient
facts, and interpret all empirical evidence in light of our free-market
predispositions, even if those predispositions do not make the best
sense of the data. And we are assumed to do all of this, of course,
because that is what we must do to keep our ideological paymasters
happy. This is wrong on so many levels, it’s hard
to know where to begin. But let me tell you a bit about my own
background and experience. I spent six highly unpleasant years in Ann
Arbor, Michigan earning a doctorate in political science. If I had
simply wanted to be a prostitute, there were much quicker, easier, and
more enjoyable ways of going about it. Furthermore, having lost most of
my 20s (and much of the feeling in my fingers and toes) to the quest for
a serious credential from a serious school, I’m not about to surrender
my intellectual credibility through slavish fealty to some abstract
concept (“the free market”). Finally, intellectual dishonesty
is—what’s the word I’m looking for here?—oh yeah: dishonest.
That makes it inconsistent with the way I try to live my life. In short, I’ve got far too much at stake,
personally and professionally, to say to WPRI or to anyone else, “Just
tell me what you need me to find, and I’ll find it for you, the truth
be damned.” Well, bully for you, you might say; but
there’s no escaping the fact that WPRI studies often do “come out
right”—that is, they often do support a free-market point of view,
and they never (at least no examples spring to mind) support big
government solutions. So, what gives? In answer to that question, imagine that you
have no ideological predispositions at all. In that case, you might
think to yourself, “Okay, maybe conservatives are right one-third of
the time, liberals are right one-third of the time, and people like
me—people without predispositions, who support some liberal ideas and
some conservative ideas—are right one-third of the time.” (Reminder:
I’m using the term “conservative” advisedly here, despite its
shortcomings.) By this math, if WPRI chose study topics at random, one
would expect our studies to “come out right” one-third of the time,
and to come out at least partially right another one-third of the time.
So, that our studies “come out right” most of the time shouldn’t
be terribly surprising. But forget the made-up math. The fallacy
here is that we choose our study topics at random. (I’m speaking only
for myself here, but I would be surprised to learn that other WPRI
researchers were much different.) My own process is fairly simple.
First, I look for issues that interest me personally. Beyond that, I
look for fat targets and low-hanging fruit. I’m not talking about
studies that are easy to conduct; I’m talking about study topics on
which I know that existing, extensive data and research support a
“free market” perspective. Take, for example, a study I wrote for WPRI
on concealed weapons. By the time the legislature and governor were
considering concealed-carry legislation in Wisconsin, we had seen the
same debate play out in roughly 40 other states that had passed
concealed weapons laws. We had already seen the results in those 40
states as well: no increase in violence or crime, and begrudging
admissions by law enforcement agencies that they had been wrong in their
predictions of disaster. (If you are interested, you can find the study here.)
And yet, the debate in Wisconsin was playing
out (on the anti-gun side, anyway) as if we had no real-world experience
on which to draw. I knew that we did, and I knew what that experience
was. That is why this particular study “came out right”—not
because I slanted the piece, but because I chose a topic on which no
slanting was required. (Translation: I picked a big, fat target.) Many of my studies follow the same basic template: I go looking for issues about which I am passionate, and on which I know that existing data and respected research support a free market viewpoint. I then write about those issues in a Wisconsin-specific context. To the outsider, it might appear as if the studies must have been “massaged” to fit a pre-determined conclusion. The truth, however—like it or not—is that much of the time we free-market types are simply right.
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©2008 Wisconsin Policy Research Institute, Inc. P.O. Box 487 Thiensville, WI 53092 |
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